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1月の「追い切り所見」をレビューしてみる

1月はの追い切り所見に対するレビューをしていきます。

「所見中に「期待」「楽しみ」等を付記した馬の好走率について

中山金杯 勝馬 ツクバアズマオー

期待・ツクバアズマオー 計1頭

※「このレースでは信頼できそうなのは、ツクバアズマオーだけだね。」とブログ末尾にも付記

結果

・ツクバアズマオー1着

一頭「期待」でその馬が勝利したので、ここは「勝ち」と判定

ここまで1戦1勝

京都金杯 勝馬 エアスピネル

期待

・エアスピネル・・・期待

・ブラックスピネル・・・期待

・フィエロ・・・圏内を期待

・ムーンクレスト・・・期待

☆アストラエンブレム・・・ツイッターで本命◎を打つ

計5頭

結果

・エアスピネル・・・1着

・ブラックスピネル・・・2着

・フィエロ・・・3着

・ムーンクレスト・・・15着

☆アストラエンブレム・・・4着

本命馬が4着敗退も、期待馬4頭中3頭が上位独占「引き分け」で良いでしょうか(汗)

ここまで2戦1勝1分

シンザン記念 勝馬 キョウヘイ

期待

・コウソクストレート・・・期待

・マイスタイル・・・期待

・キョウヘイ・・・穴で

結果

・コウソクストレート・・・14着

・マイスタイル・・・5着

・キョウヘイ・・・1着

期待馬が敗退も穴馬27.4倍が勝利なので、「勝ち」判定とします。

ここまで3戦2勝1分

フェアリーS 勝馬 キョウヘイ

期待

・キャスパリーグ・・・期待

・ツヅク・・・ちょっとだけ警戒

結果

・キャスパリーグ・・・12着

・ツヅク・・・14着

文句なしの敗北。

ここまで4戦2勝1分1敗

愛知杯 勝馬 マキシマムドパリ

期待

・マキシマムドパリ・・・圏内期待

・クインズミラーグロ・・・期待

・サンソブール・・・抑えておきたい気もする

・クリノラホール・・・馬券は検討範囲

結果

・マキシマムドパリ・・・1着

・クインズミラーグロ・・・3着

・サンソブール・・・2着

・クリノラホール・・・7着

これは勝ちで良いですよね。

ここまで5戦3勝1分1敗

日経新春杯 勝馬 ミッキーロケット

期待

・シャケトラ・・・アッサリ決める?

・カフジプリンス・・・楽しみ

結果

・シャケトラ・・・2着

・カフジプリンス・・・5着

シャケトラ2着も、本命も本命で吹きまくっての2着なので、ここは負け。

ここまで6戦3勝1分2敗

京成杯 勝馬 コマノインパルス

期待

・コマノインパルス・・・ここは狙えそう

・ポポカテペトル・・・勝負してみたい

結果

・コマノインパルス・・・1着

・ポポカテペトル・・・10着

勝馬の単勝が3.8倍だった事を考えて、ここは引き分けで良いでしょうか。

ここまで7戦3勝2分2敗

AJCC 勝馬 タンタアレグリア

期待

・タンタアレグリア・・・高く期待(ツイキャスで本命)

・ゼーヴィント・・・普通に運べば圏内

・リアファル・・・復活を期待

・ルミナスウォリアー・・・まずまず期待

結果

・タンタアレグリア・・・1着

・ゼーヴィント・・・2着

・リアファル・・・13着

・ルミナスウォリアー・・・4着

単勝14.7倍を本命指定、ゼーヴィントを圏内指定。

これは勝ちで。

ここまで8戦4勝2分2敗

東海ステークス 勝馬 グレンツェント

期待

・グレンツェント・・・期待(ツイキャスで本命指定)

・メイショウウタゲ・・・自分を信じて期待

・ロンドンタウン・・・期待

結果

・グレンツェント・・・1着

・メイショウウタゲ・・・3着

・ロンドンタウン・・・7着

本命勝利、59.6倍のメイショウウタゲを3着。

これは勝ちで。

ここまで9戦5勝2分2敗

シルクロードS 勝馬 ダンスディレクター

期待

・ダンスディレクター・・・期待(ツイキャスで本命指定)

結果

・ダンスディレクター・・・1着

単勝6.7倍一本で的中。勝ち。

ここまで10戦6勝2分2敗

根岸S 勝馬 カフジテイク

期待

・カフジテイク・・・3着固定が無難。(ただし、ブログコメント欄で軸指名、ツイキャスでは最終的に本命指定)

・ニシケンモノノフ・・・まずまず期待

・ブルミラコロ・・・圏内を期待

・コーリンベリー・・・期待

結果

・カフジテイク・・・1着

・ニシケンモノノフ・・・5着

・ブルミラコロ・・・11着

・コーリンベリー・・・15着

カフジテイクは途中で評価がブレてしまったので、無効票としてフ的中扱い。他馬も軒並み凡走だったので、敗北。

ここまで11戦6勝2分3敗

2017年1月は11戦6勝2分3敗と中々の結果に。

基本的に1Rあたり3頭前後(1頭の時もあり)にしか期待を表明していないので、ある程度白黒つけやすい情報提供にはなっているかも。

2月もお役に立てるよう、頑張ります~。


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